Experimental probability · seed 1 · A4, ink-friendly. The answer key prints on its own page for grown-ups.

Relative frequency: what really happened

Mathematics · Probability · ages 11-13
Name ______________________   Date ____________
  1. A coin tossed 100 times lands heads 52 times. What is the relative frequency as a decimal?

    Answer: ______________

  2. A coin is tossed 50 times with 23 heads. What is the relative frequency of heads?

    • 23/50
    • 23/27
    • 50/23
    • 27/50
  3. What does relative frequency measure?

    • Outcome count / total trials
    • The number of possible outcomes
    • The theoretical probability of an event
  4. Relative frequency is calculated from observed experimental results, not from a theoretical model.

    Circle one:   True   False

  5. A spinner is spun 40 times: red 16, blue 14, green 10. What is the relative frequency of red?

    • 2/5
    • 16/24
    • 40/16
    • 1/4
  6. For independent tosses of the same fair coin, 5000 tosses usually give a relative frequency nearer 1/2 than 50 tosses. True or false?

    Circle one:   True   False

  7. A fair coin gives 23 heads in 50 independent tosses, while theory gives a heads probability of 1/2. What best explains the gap?

    • 50 tosses is a small sample, so chance wobbles
    • The coin is always unfair
    • Theory is wrong
    • 23/50 equals 1/2 exactly
  8. For independent tosses of the same fair coin, what tends to happen to the relative frequency of heads as the sample grows from 20 to 2000 tosses?

    • It tends to get further from 0.5
    • Usually closer to 0.5
    • It always stays exactly the same
  9. Two experiments use independent tosses of the same fair coin. A: 10 tosses, 7 heads. B: 1000 tosses, 508 heads. Which gives the better estimate here, and why?

    • Experiment A, because smaller numbers are easier to work with
    • Both are equally reliable
    • Experiment B, because more trials make the relative frequency a more reliable estimate
  10. Mia rolled a die 6 times and got each number exactly once. She says this proves the die is perfectly fair. What's wrong with her reasoning?

    • Six rolls is too few to draw a firm conclusion about fairness
    • Dice can never be tested for fairness
    • Getting each number once always happens with a fair die
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Answer key

For grown-ups. Fold this page away before handing over the rest.

Relative frequency: what really happened W1-mt_sHJqh6UUya-s1

  1. 0.52 · 52 / 100 = 0.52.
  2. 23/50 · 23 heads out of 50 tosses is 23/50.
  3. Outcome count / total trials · Relative frequency comes from real results: outcome count divided by total trials.
  4. True · Relative frequency uses recorded outcome counts and trial counts. The data can come from your experiment or someone else's.
  5. 2/5 · 16 red out of 40 spins is 16/40 = 2/5.
  6. True · This is a tendency, not a guarantee. Larger samples usually estimate the fixed chance more closely.
  7. 50 tosses is a small sample, so chance wobbles · Small samples wobble around the theory; 23/50 is close to 1/2, not equal.
  8. Usually closer to 0.5 · A larger sample usually estimates the fixed heads probability of 0.5 more closely. An individual longer run can still be farther away.
  9. Experiment B, because more trials make the relative frequency a more reliable estimate · A gives 0.7, which is 0.2 from 0.5. B gives 0.508, only 0.008 away. B is closer here; larger samples also usually estimate the fixed chance more closely.
  10. Six rolls is too few to draw a firm conclusion about fairness · A small number of trials can look tidy by chance alone. It doesn't confirm the die is fair.
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